It might be convenient to go long on the industrial market and short on the tech, since the biggest impact of any uncertainty is usually more aggressive on the less traded market We are pricing incomes of the next further generation Trump’s expectations took out from the underground the bullish euphoria and animal spirits. […]
Where? Jackson Hole, state of Wyoming. The event is organized by the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City. Since 1978 most influential and powerful policy makers (and not only) meet periodically for an “annual economic policy symposium” . In the last…
Bye bye Bes, here is NovoBanco.
New name, new life? NovoBanco. 4th of August, 2014. Portuguese government splits the old Bes in two banks: a good bank, that manages the healty business and deposits, and a bad bank, with probabilities of refund the creditors near the zero.…
Vive la France!
France – Too good for a PIIGS economy. Let’s start from the real GDP growth rate. As someone knows, before the crisis, Spain was used to grow at higher rates than Germany, Italy had a lower rythm than the…
[España] – hard work gives important results. España – In the last years each of us when someone asks him about the Spain might think to the Indignados, or the recent Bankia troubles (Small video about it on youtube made by Euronews),…
High Frequency Trading
The High-Frequency-Trading is a very advanced and (totally) statistics driven way to gain on minimal margins. How does it work? You just send a very huge bid or ask command (immediately execute or cancel). The most advanced technologies assures the…
Argentina. This time it’s different. What did it happen? 30th of July 2014: 539 billion $ – unpaid interest expenses. Argentina is technically in default. The government, obviously, says that everything is under control. We have two possibilities: negotiating: hedge…
According to old stats, in summer time, investing in financial markets is a quite rare activity, people go on vacation, and so on, and so forth (…) But, in 2014 we live in financial times, people get their Ipad on the beach, people…
Deutsche Bank. Überraschung!
The bad reawakening from the top of the world. In this new article we are going to speak about DBK problems and the ways it may resolve them. Main issues are: surge of the legal costs, lower debt trading revenue,…
BES drops. Why?
Main keyfacts, causes and first consequences on BES falling
What about Greece?
Greece. Let’s start from the Germany. In particular let’s start from this article of the “Der Spiegel” dated 2010, in which it’s explained how Goldman Sachs helped the greek government to distort the balance sheet. We may lose the focus speaking about EU guidance, the…
03 – Te lo do io il credit crunch. Stretta creditizia e BCE
Non sarà facile scrivere questo articolo, ma le sfide ci fanno sentire vivi, let’sgo. Ma che sarà mai il credit crunch? è una strozzatura del credito erogato a famiglie, imprese, stato ed enti in generale. Perchè avviene: come è logico…
Capital increase in MPS
Let’s try to just introduce bank MPS and explain what has happened during its share capital increase. Where does it come from? 1472, it’s founded in Siena, Italy to lend money to poor people. Its name was “Monte di Pietà”…
China – The giant’s step.
Made in China. The micro-industry of China has been among the earliest to have established itself in major Western cities, by importing a real business model, the store-house and the farm-house. So, we are starting to understand that the success…
Did anyone notice the bottom-up movement on the EURUSD cross after the last speech/conference/reunion of the Ecb, in wich europe has gone heavely on negative rates with (maybe the last) very huge measures to raise the economies from the debt deflation? Well, I did. Simply, I’ve tought that bad news for eurozone are […]
It’s quite simple here, accumulate in phase 5-6; distribute in 1-2. Clear and simple, Given the Dollar Index permission. TweetComments comments
What reactions did the market have, did each of you have, in front of the ECB’s QE? I can say it with a candle (the yellow one: Saying it with two words: the market already knew it. Convalidated Expectations. But this is nothing new if we think […]
After the head-cutting operated by BNS (Swiss National Bank) I expect a BIG distrust of the operators in front of the market-movers, the Central Banks. Let’s say it clearly, it’s a period of changes and the greek elections added to the imminent “QE or not QE” might be a very good excuse to go long […]
As we sayed here, target 5 reached! During this period the price levels have been reached mainly with the different monetary policy of the ECB and FED due to the growth of Usa GDP and stagflation in Europe. Therefore, a different financial and political backbone in this two areas of the world have caused a […]
As you can see in the chart above the LightCrude has stopped falling, for the moment. It was a bit predictable, because of the historical support at 75.05 that has been touched in June 2010 and October 2011, it is a really good target for who has gone SHORT on it. As I sayed in […]
Where do we go now? Something similar sayed Axel Rose in “Sweet Child O’Mine”, maybe he was thinking about the gold, didn’t he?! As we can see there is a very important breakout on the support line at 1181.54$ Maybe a worst condition of italian economy – tomorrow the Gdp data release -might pump the […]
HIGHWAY TO HEEL? English version (click here) Discutevamo giusto pochi minuti fa col caro Calogero sul fatto che l’eurusd abbia chiuso appena al di sopra del supportino dinamico, a conferma del fatto che non è ancora il momento di andare short. Certo, le macro tendenze sono quelle, ma sempre più spesso si parla di super […]